Lending standards can be too tight for too long, research finds
When banks tighten lending standards following a shock, they can set off a chain reaction that can worsen and prolong a credit crunch.
Faculty
Jonathan A. Parker is the Robert C. Merton (1970) Professor of Finance, co-director of the MIT Sloan Consumer Finance Initiative, and co-director of the MIT Golub Center for Finance and Policy. He is also an Economic Adviser for the Congressional Budget Office, a co-editor of the Journal of Economic Perspectives, a Research Associate at the National Bureau of Economic Research, and a panelist in both the Financial Times/IGM US Macroeconomists Survey and the IGM Finance Experts. Professor Parker has served as a Visiting Scholar at several Federal Reserve Banks, as Special Adviser on Financial Stability for the Office of Financial Stability in the U.S. Department of the Treasury in 2009, as contractor for Fidelity, as a contractor for the JPMorgan Chase Institute, as an Editor of the NBER Macroeconomics Annual, on the Board of Editors of the American Economic Review, and as both Head of the finance group and Area Head of Economics, Finance, and Accounting at MIT Sloan. An expert in finance, macroeconomics, and household behavior, Professor Parker has published widely on topics such as macroeconomic risks and asset returns, household financial decisions, fiscal stabilization policy, national saving, the measurement of business cycles, and modeling human economic behavior.
Current Research Focus: Parker has contributed broadly to research on household finance, FinTech, financial markets, financing retirement, macroeconomics, and public policy. A major part of his research has been documenting the important role of liquidity for household spending decisions. Current and recent research topics include measuring the evolution of household portfolios, risk taking, and beliefs; developing machine learning techniques to solve for optimal household portfolios; measuring the impact of household financial innovations on stock market dynamics; and the impact of the COVID crisis and policy responses on the standards of living of typical Americans and on small business owners.
Featured Publication
"Why Don't Households Smooth Consumption? Evidence from a 25 Million Dollar Experiment."Parker, Jonathan A. American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics Vol. 9, No. 4 (2017): 153-183. Publisher Page. Online appendix.
Featured Publication
"Optimal Time-Inconsistent Beliefs: Misplanning, Procrastination, and Commitment."Brunnermeier, Markus K., Filippos Papakonstantinou, and Jonathan A. Parker. Management Science Vol. 63, No. 5 (2017): 1318-1340. Online Appendix.
Parker, Jonathan A. and Yang Sun. Journal of Pension Economics and Finance, 20th Anniversary Special Issue. Forthcoming.
Fishman, Michael J., Jonathan A. Parker, and Ludwig Straub. The Review of Financial Studies Vol. 37, No. 8 (2024): 2355-2402. Preprint. Appendix.
Kim, Olivia S., Jonathan A. Parker, and Antoinette Schoar, MIT Sloan Working Paper 6232-20. Cambridge, MA: MIT Sloan School of Management, February 2024.
Parker, Jonathan A., Antoinette Schoar, Allison Cole, and Duncan Simester (Conditionally Accepted at Journal of Finance), MIT Sloan Working Paper 6226-20. Cambridge, MA: MIT Sloan School of Management, October 2023. Appendix.
When banks tighten lending standards following a shock, they can set off a chain reaction that can worsen and prolong a credit crunch.
Four MIT Sloan economists on lessons learned and next steps after the demise of Silicon Valley Bank, Signature Bank, and First Republic.
The sweet spot for consumer spending? There is no simple answer. Because the sweet spot depends on what else is happening in the economy.
"Some of what you're paying for in the cost of living you're actually getting on the other side in benefits."
People who don’t have to worry about money often buy things they think of as necessities, but really aren’t, said Jonathan Parker.
"People have a fair bit of debt capacity before they start hitting constraints."